Hurricane outlook for 2026
Experts predict a less active hurricane season in Texas this year. For more context on this perspective, the Choose Energy team spoke with Anthony Yanez, chief meteorologist at KPRC 2 News in Houston. Yanez pointed to El Niño, a climate pattern that brings warm waters to the Pacific Ocean, as a major influence in this year’s hurricane outlook.
“El Niño creates really strong wind shear, which brings opposing winds to tropical systems,” said Yanez. “So as a tropical system tries to form, those opposing winds knock off its top. That’s why we should see a lower number of storms (this year).”
But Yanez clarified that “lower numbers does not mean a lack of impact.” In El Niño years, storms that form close to land can still threaten nearby communities and tend to be less impacted by El Niño. Residents along Texas’ flat coastline should stay alert as they are especially susceptible to flooding during summer storms.
How many hurricanes will there be in 2026?
Researchers from Colorado State University (CSU) anticipate 13 named storms and six hurricanes in the Atlantic this year, according to CSU’s 2026 hurricane activity forecast. Both projections are lower than the 30-year average of 14.4 named storms and 7.2 hurricanes. While these numbers are an estimation, and actual events may differ, the CSU hurricane forecast is a trusted resource among industry experts.
